References🔗
Climate Interactive Data Files: Data.vdfx, Created from En-ROADS data model (Data.mdl). Global-RS GHG.vdfx, from C-ROADS.mdl. EnROADS-Calc.vdfx, Created from (En-ROADS-RS.mdl). NGFS-Scenarios.vdfx, Created from NGFS data model, dated 11/11/2023. SSP v2 Global Data, Created from SSP v2 data model, dated 11/08/2019.
Ackerman, F. & Stanton, E. (2012). Climate risks and carbon prices: Revising the social cost of carbon. Econ. Open-Access Open-Assess. E-J. 6, 10.
Albertus, P. (2020). Long-Duration Electricity Storage Applications, Economics, and Technologies, 2020 https://www.cell.com/joule/pdf/S2542-4351(19)30539-2.pdf.
Alfieri, L., et al. (2017). Global projections of river flood risk in a warmer world. Earth's Future, 5(2), 171-182.
Bastin, J.-F., et al. (2020). Erratum for the Report: “The global tree restoration potential” by J.-F. Bastin, Y. Finegold, C. Garcia, D. Mollicone, M. Rezende, D. Routh, C. M. Zohner, T. W. Crowther and for the Technical Response “Response to Comments on ‘The global tree restoration potential’” by J.-F. Bastin, Y. Finegold, C. Garcia, N. Gellie, A. Lowe, D. Mollicone, M. Rezende, D. Routh, M. Sacande, B. Sparrow, C. M. Zohner, T. W. Crowther, . Science, 368(6494): eabc8905.
Bernie, D., Lowe, J., Tyrrell, T., Legge, O. (2010). Influence of Mitigation Policy on Ocean Acidification. Geophysical Research Letters, 37:L15704.
Björkström, Anders. (1986). One-Dimensional and Two-Dimensional Ocean Models for Predicting the Distribution of CO2 Between the Ocean and the Atmosphere. 10.1007/978-1-4757-1915-4_14.
Burke, M., Hsiang, S. M. & Miguel, E. (2015). Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production. Nature 527, 235–239.
Burke, M., Davis, W. M. & Diffenbaugh, N. S. (2018). Large potential reduction in economic damages under UN mitigation targets. Nature 557, 549–553.
Caldecott, Ben, Lomax, Guy, & Workman, Max. (2015). Stranded Carbon Assets and Negative Emission Technologies (Working Paper). University of Oxford Stranded Assets Programme. Retrieved from http://www.smithschool.ox.ac.uk/research-programmes/stranded-assets/Stranded%20Carbon%20Assets%20and%20NETs%20-%2006.02.15.pdf
Covington, H. and R. Thamotheram. (2015). The Case for Forceful Stewardship (Part 1): The Financial Risk from Global Warming. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2551478 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2551478
Dietz, S. & Stern, N. (2015). Endogenous growth, convexity of damage and climate risk: how Nordhaus’ framework supports deep cuts in carbon emissions. Econ. J. 125, 574–620.
Dolphin, G., & Merkle, M. (2024). Emissions-weighted Carbon Price [Data set]. In Scientific Data. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12181508.
Dottori, F., et al. (2018). Increased human and economic losses from river flooding with anthropogenic warming. Nature Climate Change, 8(9), 781-786.
EDGAR (Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research) Community GHG Database, a collaboration between the European Commission, Joint Research Centre (JRC), the International Energy Agency (IEA), and comprising IEA-EDGAR CO2, EDGAR CH4, EDGAR N2O, EDGAR F-GASES version 7.0, (2022) European Commission, JRC (Datasets). The complete citation of the EDGAR Community GHG Database is available in the 'Sources and References' section.
Energy Institute. (2024). Statistical Review of World Energy, 73rd Edition. https://www.energyinst.org/statistical-review.
Erb, K.-H., Kastner, T., Plutzar, C., Bais, A. L. S., Carvalhais, N., Fetzel, T., Gingrich, S., Haberl, H., Lauk, C., Niedertscheider, M., Pongratz, J., Thurner, M., & Luyssaert, S. (2018). Unexpectedly large impact of forest management and grazing on global vegetation biomass. Nature, 553(7686), 73-76. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature25138.
Fares, R.L. and C.W. King. (2016). Trends in Transmission, Distribution, and Administration Costs for U.S. Investor Owned Electric Utilities. White Paper UTEI/2016-06-1. https://energy.utexas.edu/sites/default/files/UTAustin_FCe_TDA_2016.pdf.
Fiddaman, T. (1997). Feedback complexity in integrated climate-economy models. https://dspace.mit.edu/handle/1721.1/10154
Fiddaman, T., L.S. Siegel, E. Sawin, A.P. Jones, and J. Sterman. (2023). C-ROADS Technical Reference. https://www.climateinteractive.org/c-roads-technical-reference
Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO). FAOStat Database. https://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data.
Friedlingstein, P., O'Sullivan, M., Jones, M. W., Andrew, R. M., Bakker, D. C. E., Hauck, J., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., Luijkx, I. T., Peters, G. P., Peters, W., Pongratz, J., Schwingshackl, C., Sitch, S., Canadell, J. G., Ciais, P., Jackson, R. B., Alin, S. R., Anthoni, P., Barbero, L., Bates, N. R., Becker, M., Bellouin, N., Decharme, B., Bopp, L., Brasika, I. B. M., Cadule, P., Chamberlain, M. A., Chandra, N., Chau, T.-T.-T., Chevallier, F., Chini, L. P., Cronin, M., Dou, X., Enyo, K., Evans, W., Falk, S., Feely, R. A., Feng, L., Ford, D. J., Gasser, T., Ghattas, J., Gkritzalis, T., Grassi, G., Gregor, L., Gruber, N., Gürses, Ö., Harris, I., Hefner, M., Heinke, J., Houghton, R. A., Hurtt, G. C., Iida, Y., Ilyina, T., Jacobson, A. R., Jain, A., Jarníková, T., Jersild, A., Jiang, F., Jin, Z., Joos, F., Kato, E., Keeling, R. F., Kennedy, D., Klein Goldewijk, K., Knauer, J., Korsbakken, J. I., Körtzinger, A., Lan, X., Lefèvre, N., Li, H., Liu, J., Liu, Z., Ma, L., Marland, G., Mayot, N., McGuire, P. C., McKinley, G. A., Meyer, G., Morgan, E. J., Munro, D. R., Nakaoka, S.-I., Niwa, Y., O'Brien, K. M., Olsen, A., Omar, A. M., Ono, T., Paulsen, M., Pierrot, D., Pocock, K., Poulter, B., Powis, C. M., Rehder, G., Resplandy, L., Robertson, E., Rödenbeck, C., Rosan, T. M., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Smallman, T. L., Smith, S. M., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Sun, Q., Sutton, A. J., Sweeney, C., Takao, S., Tans, P. P., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., Tsujino, H., Tubiello, F., van der Werf, G. R., van Ooijen, E., Wanninkhof, R., Watanabe, M., Wimart-Rousseau, C., Yang, D., Yang, X., Yuan, W., Yue, X., Zaehle, S., Zeng, J., and Zheng, B.: Global Carbon Budget 2023, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 15, 5301–5369, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-5301-2023, 2023.
Fung, I. et al. (1991). Three-dimensional model synthesis of the global methane cycle. J. Geophys. Res., 96, 13033-13065, doi:10.1029/91JD01247.
Gasser, T., Crepin, L., Quilcaille, Y., Houghton, R. A., Ciais, P., and Obersteiner, M.: Historical CO2 emissions from land use and land cover change and their uncertainty, Biogeosciences, 17, 4075–4101, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-17-4075-2020, 2020. Plus direct communication on March 24, 2022 by the lead author, Thomas Gasser.
Gaunt, J. L., & Lehmann, J. (2008) Energy Balance and Emissions Associated with Biochar Sequestration and Pyrolysis Bioenergy Production. Environmental Science & Technology, 42(11), 4152–4158. https://doi.org/10.1021/es071361i
Geiger, T., et al. (2021). Double benefit of limiting global warming for tropical cyclone exposure. Nature Climate Change, 11, 861–866.
Gitz, V., and P. Ciais (2003), Amplifying effects of land-use change on future atmospheric CO2 levels, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 17, 1024, doi:10.1029/2002GB001963, 1.
Glanemann, N., Willner, S. N. & Levermann, A. (2020). Paris Climate Agreement passes the cost-benefit test. Nat. Commun. 11, 1–11.
Global Carbon Budget (GCB). (2022) Pierre Friedlingstein, Michael O’Sullivan, Matthew W. Jones, Robbie M. Andrew, Luke Gregor, Judith Hauck, and many others. Global Carbon Budget 2022, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 2022. https://globalcarbonbudget.org/wp-content/uploads/GCB2022_ESSD_Paper.pdf.
Global Forest Watch. (2024). Global burned Global Annual Tree Cover Loss from Fires, 2001 - 2023. (Accessed 2024).
Global Wildfire Information System. (2024).Global Monthly Burned Area, 2002 - 2023.. (Accessed 2024).
Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) (2024) GISTEMP4 Global Mean Estimates based on Land and Ocean Data 1880-2023.
Goudriaan, J. and Ketner, P. (1984) A Simulation Study for the Global Carbon Cycle, Including Man's Impact on the Biosphere. Climatic Change, 6:167-192.
Greenstone, M., Kopits, E. & Wolverton, A. (2013). Developing a Social Cost of Carbon for US Regulatory Analysis: A Methodology and Interpretation. Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 7, 23–46.
Gütschow, J.; Pflüger, M. (2023): The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series v2.4.2 (1750-2021). zenodo. doi:10.5281/zenodo.7727475.
Gütschow, J., Jeffery, L., Gieseke, R., Gebel, R., Stevens, D., Krapp, M., Rocha, M. (2016). The PRIMAP-hist national historical emissions time series, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 8, 571-603, https://dx.doi.org/10.5194/essd-8-571-2016.
Hanemann, W. M. (2008). What is the economic cost of climate change?.
HDR GSFC. 2021. Global Mean Sea Level Trend from Integrated Multi-Mission Ocean Altimeters TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, OSTM/Jason-2, and Jason-3 Version 5.1. Ver. 5.1 PO.DAAC, CA, USA. https://doi.org/10.5067/GMSLM-TJ151. Dataset accessed 07/12/2023. https://archive.podaac.earthdata.nasa.gov/podaac-ops-cumulus-protected/MERGED_TP_J1_OSTM_OST_GMSL_ASCII_V51/GMSL_TPJAOS_5.1_199209_202303.txt
Houghton, R. A., and A. A. Nassikas (2017). Global and regional fluxes of carbon from land use and land cover change 1850–2015, Global Biogeochem. Cycles, 31.doi:10.1002/2016GB005546.
Huang, J., Yu, H., Guan, X. et al. (2016). Accelerated dryland expansion under climate change. Nature Clim Change 6, 166–171. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2837
Humpenöder, F., Popp, A., Dietrich, J. P., Klein, D., Lotze-Campen, H., Markus Bonsch, Müller, C. (2014). Investigating afforestation and bioenergy CCS as climate change mitigation strategies. Environmental Research Letters, 9(6), 064029. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064029
Hunter, Chad and Penev, Michael and Reznicek, Evan P. and Eichman, Joshua and Rustagi, Neha and Baldwin, Samuel F., Techno-Economic Analysis of Long-Duration Energy Storage and Flexible Power Generation Technologies to Support High Variable Renewable Energy Grids. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3720769 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3720769
Hurtt, G. C., L. Chini, R. Sahajpal, S. Frolking, B. L. Bodirsky, K. Calvin, J. C. Doelman, J. Fisk, S. Fujimori, K. K. Goldewijk, T. Hasegawa, P. Havlik, A. Heinimann, F. Humpenöder, J. Jungclaus, Jed Kaplan, J. Kennedy, T. Kristzin, D. Lawrence, P. Lawrence, L. Ma, O. Mertz, J. Pongratz, A. Popp, B. Poulter, K. Riahi, E. Shevliakova, E. Stehfest, P. Thornton, F. N. Tubiello, D. P. van Vuuren, X. Zhang. (2020). Harmonization of Global Land-Use Change and Management for the Period 850-2100 (LUH2) for CMIP6. Geoscientifc Model Development. DOI: 10.5194/gmd-2019-360; https://luh.umd.edu/
International Energy Agency (IEA). (2023). World Energy Outlook (WEO). World data for final and primary energy by source and sector, and CO2 emissions. https://www.iea.org/weo/
IEA. (2024). World Energy Balances and World Energy Statistics Datasets. 1990-2022. https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/data-product/world-energy-statistics-balances.
IEA. (2023). World Energy Balances. https://www.iea.org/reports/world-energy-balances-overview
IEA. (2020). Evolution of solar PV module cost by data source, 1970-2020, IEA, Paris. https://www.iea.org/data-and-statistics/charts/evolution-of-solar-pv-module-cost-by-data-source-1970-2020 License: CC BY 4.0.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). 2018. Special Report - Global Warming of 1.5o C.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2023): Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report.A Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Core Writing Team, H. Lee and J. Romero (eds.)]. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, (in press).
IPCC. (2021): Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change[Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, In press, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.
IPCC. (2021): AR6 WG1, Chapter 5. Canadell, J.G., P.M.S. Monteiro, M.H. Costa, L. Cotrim da Cunha, P.M. Cox, A.V. Eliseev, S. Henson, M. Ishii, S. Jaccard, C. Koven, A. Lohila, P.K. Patra, S. Piao, J. Rogelj, S. Syampungani, S. Zaehle, and K. Zickfeld, 2021: Global Carbon and other Biogeochemical Cycles and Feedbacks. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 673–816, doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.007.
IPCC. (2021): AR6 WG1, Chapter 6. Szopa, S., V. Naik, B. Adhikary, P. Artaxo, T. Berntsen, W.D. Collins, S. Fuzzi, L. Gallardo, A. Kiendler-Scharr, Z. Klimont, H. Liao, N. Unger, and P. Zanis, 2021: Short-Lived Climate Forcers. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 817–922, doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.008.
IPCC. (2021): AR6 WG1, Chapter 7. Forster, P., T. Storelvmo, K. Armour, W. Collins, J.-L. Dufresne, D. Frame, D.J. Lunt, T. Mauritsen, M.D. Palmer, M. Watanabe, M. Wild, and H. Zhang, 2021: The Earth’s Energy Budget, Climate Feedbacks, and Climate Sensitivity. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 923–1054, doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.009.
IPCC. (2021): AR6 Technical Summary. Arias, P.A., N. Bellouin, E. Coppola, R.G. Jones, G. Krinner, J. Marotzke, V. Naik, M.D. Palmer, G.-K. Plattner, J. Rogelj, M. Rojas, J. Sillmann, T. Storelvmo, P.W. Thorne, B. Trewin, K. Achuta Rao, B. Adhikary, R.P. Allan, K. Armour, G. Bala, R. Barimalala, S. Berger, J.G. Canadell, C. Cassou, A. Cherchi, W. Collins, W.D. Collins, S.L. Connors, S. Corti, F. Cruz, F.J. Dentener, C. Dereczynski, A. Di Luca, A. Diongue Niang, F.J. Doblas-Reyes, A. Dosio, H. Douville, F. Engelbrecht, V. Eyring, E. Fischer, P. Forster, B. Fox-Kemper, J.S. Fuglestvedt, J.C. Fyfe, N.P. Gillett, L. Goldfarb, I. Gorodetskaya, J.M. Gutierrez, R. Hamdi, E. Hawkins, H.T. Hewitt, P. Hope, A.S. Islam, C. Jones, D.S. Kaufman, R.E. Kopp, Y. Kosaka, J. Kossin, S. Krakovska, J.-Y. Lee, J. Li, T. Mauritsen, T.K. Maycock, M. Meinshausen, S.-K. Min, P.M.S. Monteiro, T. Ngo-Duc, F. Otto, I. Pinto, A. Pirani, K. Raghavan, R. Ranasinghe, A.C. Ruane, L. Ruiz, J.-B. Sallée, B.H. Samset, S. Sathyendranath, S.I. Seneviratne, A.A. Sörensson, S. Szopa, I. Takayabu, A.-M. Tréguier, B. van den Hurk, R. Vautard, K. von Schuckmann, S. Zaehle, X. Zhang, and K. Zickfeld, 2021: Technical Summary. In Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 33−144, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.002.
IPCC. (2021): AR6 Summary for Policymakers. In: Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Masson-Delmotte, V., P. Zhai, A. Pirani, S.L. Connors, C. Péan, S. Berger, N. Caud, Y. Chen, L. Goldfarb, M.I. Gomis, M. Huang, K. Leitzell, E. Lonnoy, J.B.R. Matthews, T.K. Maycock, T. Waterfield, O. Yelekçi, R. Yu, and B. Zhou (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, pp. 3−32, doi:10.1017/9781009157896.001.
IPCC AR6 WG3. (2021). https://github.com/chrisroadmap/ar6/blob/main/data_output/fair_wg3_natural_ch4_n2o.csv.
IRENA. (2023). Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2022, International Renewable Energy Agency, Abu Dhabi. https://www.irena.org/Publications/2023/Aug/Renewable-power-generation-costs-in-2022
IRENA. (2020). Taylor, Michael. Energy subsidies: Evolution in the global energy transformation to 2050, International Renewable Energy Agency, Abu Dhabi.
Keen, S. (2020). The appallingly bad neoclassical economics of climate change. Globalizations 1–29.
Keller, A.A., Goldstein, R.A. (1995). Oceanic transport and storage of carbon emissions. Climatic Change 30, 367–395. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01093853
Knorr, W., et al. (2016). Demographic controls of future global fire risk. Nature Climate Change, 6(8), 781-785.
Koornneef, Joris, van Breevoort, Pieter, Hamelinck, Carlo, Hendriks, Chris, Hoogwijk, Monique, Koop, Klaas, & Koper, Michele. (2011). Potential for Biomass and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage. EcoFys for IEA GHG. Retrieved from https://www.eenews.net/assets/2011/08/04/document_cw_01.pdf
Kriegler, E., Edenhofer, O., Reuster, L., Luderer, G., & Klein, D. (2013). Is atmospheric carbon dioxide removal a game changer for climate change mitigation? Climatic Change, 118(1), 45–57. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-012-0681-4
Lange, S., et al. (2020). Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales. Earth's Future, 8(12), e2020EF001616.
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. (2022). Utility-Scale Solar. https://emp.lbl.gov/utility-scale-solar
Lazard (2023). Lazard’s Levelized Cost of Energy Analysis – Version 16.0. https://www.lazard.com/media/2ozoovyg/lazards-lcoeplus-april-2023.pdf
Lenton, T. M. (2010). The potential for land-based biological CO2 removal to lower future atmospheric CO2 concentration. Carbon Management, 1(1), 145–160. https://doi.org/10.4155/cmt.10.12
Lotze, H. K., et al. (2019). Global ensemble projections reveal trophic amplification of ocean biomass declines with climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(26), 12907-12912.
Maddison, A. (2008). Historical Statistics for the World Economy: 1-2006 AD. Conference Board and Groningen Growth and Development Centre, Total Economy Database, www.ggdc.net/MADDISON/oriindex.htm.
Manes, S., et al. (2021). Endemism increases species' climate change risk in areas of global biodiversity importance. Biological Conservation, 257, 109070.
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT). (2012). Joint Program Energy and Climate Outlook. http://globalchange.mit.edu/Outlook2012.
McDonald, A., Schrattenholzer, L. (2001). Learning rates for energy technologies. Energy Policy 29, 255-261.
Mclaren, D. (2012). A comparative global assessment of potential negative emissions technologies. Process Safety and Environmental Protection, 90, 489–500. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.psep.2012.10.005
Meinshausen, M., S. Smith et al. (2011). "The RCP GHG concentrations and their extension from 1765 to 2300", DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0156-z, Climatic Change.
Meinshausen, M., N. Meinshausen, W. Hare, S.C.B. Raper, K. Frieler, R. Knutti, D.J. Frame, and M.R. Allen. (2009). Greenhouse-gas emission targets for limiting global warming to 20C. Nature. 458: 1158-1163.
Miller, R.L., G.A. Schmidt, L.S. Nazarenko, et al. (2015). CMIP5 historical simulations (1850-2012) with GISS ModelE2. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 6, no. 2, 441-477, doi:10.1002/2013MS000266.
Mo, L., Zohner, C. M., Reich, P. B., Liang, J., de Miguel, S., Nabuurs, G.-J., Renner, S. S., van den Hoogen, J., Araza, A., Herold, M., Mirzagholi, L., Ma, H., Averill, C., Phillips, O. L., Gamarra, J. G. P., Hordijk, I., Routh, D., Abegg, M., Adou Yao, Y. C., Crowther, T. W. (2023). Integrated global assessment of the natural forest carbon potential. Nature, 624(7990), 92-101. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-023-06723-z.
Morice, C.P., J.J. Kennedy, N.A. Rayner, J.P. Winn, E. Hogan, R.E. Killick, R.J.H. Dunn, T.J. Osborn, P.D. Jones and I.R. Simpson (in press) An updated assessment of near-surface temperature change from 1850: the HadCRUT5 dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research (Atmospheres) doi:10.1029/2019JD032361 (supporting information).
National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). (2024). Lan, X., K.W. Thoning, and E.J. Dlugokencky: Trends in globally-averaged CO2, CH4, N2O, and SF6 determined from NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory measurements. 2024-02, https://gml.noaa.gov/ccgg/trends/.
National Research Council. (2015). Climate Intervention: Carbon Dioxide Removal and Reliable Sequestration. Retrieved from https://www.nap.edu/catalog/18805/climate-intervention-carbon-dioxide-removal-and-reliable-sequestration.
Network for Greening the Financial System (NGFS) (2023). Version 4.1. https://www.ngfs.net/ngfs-scenarios-portal/data-resources/ and NGFS Scenarios Technical Documentation. 2023. https://www.ngfs.net/en/ngfs-climate-scenarios-phase-iv-november-2023.
Nordhaus W. D. (1994). Managing the commons: The economics of climate change. MIT Press.
Nordhaus W. D. (2000). Warming the World: Economic Models of Global Warming. MIT Press.
Nordhaus, W. D. (2007). Accompanying notes and documentation on development of DICE-2007 model: Notes on DICE-2007. v8 of September 21, 2007. N. Hav. CT Yale Univ.
Nordhaus, W. & Sztorc, P. (2013). DICE 2013R: Introduction and user’s manual.
Our World in Data. Primary energy and electricity generated by source. Retrieved September 2020. https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/global-primary-energy and https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/electricity-prod-source-stacked?tab=table&year=latest&time=earliest..latest.
Oeschger, Siegenthaler et al. (1975). A box diffusion model to study the carbon dioxide exchange in nature. Tellus, 27: 168-192. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.2153-3490.1975.tb01671.x
Ostberg, S., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., and Gerten, D. (2013). Critical impacts of global warming on land ecosystems. Earth Syst. Dynam., 4(2), 347–357. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-4-347-2013.
Parsons, L.A., et al. (2021). Increased labor losses and decreased adaptation potential in a warmer world. Nature Communications, 12, 7286.
Ricke, K., Drouet, L., Caldeira, K. & Tavoni, M. (2018). Country-level social cost of carbon. Nat. Clim. Change 8, 895–900.
Rotmans, J. (1990). IMAGE, An integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect. Kluwer Academic Publishers.
Royal Society Report. (2018). Greenhouse Gas Removal. https://royalsociety.org/~/media/policy/projects/greenhouse-gas-removal/royal-society-greenhouse-gas-removal-report-2018.pdf.
Sand, M., Skeie, R.B., Sandstad, M (2023). A multi-model assessment of the Global Warming Potential of hydrogen. Commun Earth Environ 4, 203. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00857-8.
Saunois, M., Stavert, A. R., Poulter, B., Bousquet, P., Canadell, J. G., Jackson, R. B., Raymond, P. A., Dlugokencky, E. J., Houweling, S., Patra, P. K., Ciais, P., Arora, V. K., Bastviken, D., Bergamaschi, P., Blake, D. R., Brailsford, G., Bruhwiler, L., Carlson, K. M., Carrol, M., Castaldi, S., Chandra, N., Crevoisier, C., Crill, P. M., Covey, K., Curry, C. L., Etiope, G., Frankenberg, C., Gedney, N., Hegglin, M. I., Höglund-Isaksson, L., Hugelius, G., Ishizawa, M., Ito, A., Janssens-Maenhout, G., Jensen, K. M., Joos, F., Kleinen, T., Krummel, P. B., Langenfelds, R. L., Laruelle, G. G., Liu, L., Machida, T., Maksyutov, S., McDonald, K. C., McNorton, J., Miller, P. A., Melton, J. R., Morino, I., Müller, J., Murguia-Flores, F., Naik, V., Niwa, Y., Noce, S., O'Doherty, S., Parker, R. J., Peng, C., Peng, S., Peters, G. P., Prigent, C., Prinn, R., Ramonet, M., Regnier, P., Riley, W. J., Rosentreter, J. A., Segers, A., Simpson, I. J., Shi, H., Smith, S. J., Steele, L. P., Thornton, B. F., Tian, H., Tohjima, Y., Tubiello, F. N., Tsuruta, A., Viovy, N., Voulgarakis, A., Weber, T. S., van Weele, M., van der Werf, G. R., Weiss, R. F., Worthy, D., Wunch, D., Yin, Y., Yoshida, Y., Zhang, W., Zhang, Z., Zhao, Y., Zheng, B., Zhu, Q., Zhu, Q., and Zhuang, Q.: The Global Methane Budget 2000–2017, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 1561–1623, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-1561-2020, 2020.
Shaner, M., Davis, S.J., Lewis, N.S., and Caldeira, K., (2018). Geophysical constraints on the reliability of solar and wind power in the United States. Energy & Environmental Science. Issue 4.
Shell. (2018). Sky Scenario. https://www.shell.com/energy-and-innovation/the-energy-future/scenarios/shell-scenario-sky.html
Schneider, S. H., and Thompson, S. L. (1981). Atmospheric CO2 and climate: Importance of the transient response, J. Geophys. Res., 86( C4), 3135– 3147, https://doi.org/10.1029/JC086iC04p03135.
Smith, J. E., Heath, L. S., Skog, K. E., & Birdsey, R. A. (2006). Methods for calculating forest ecosystem and harvested carbon with standard estimates for forest types of the United States. U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station.
Smith, P., Davis, S. J., Creutzig, F., Fuss, S., Minx, J., Gabrielle, B., Yongsung, C. (2016). Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions. Nature Climate Change, 6(1), 42–50. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2870
Socolow, R. H. and S. H. Lam (2007). Good Enough Tools for Global Warming Policy Making. Philosophical Transactions v365 n1853. https://www.jstor.org/stable/25190479
Solomon, A.A., Child, M., Caldera, U. Breyer, C. 2017. How much energy storage is needed to incorporate very large intermittent renewables? Energy Procedia, Volume 135, Pages 283-293, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2017.09.520. (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1876610217346258).
SSP Database (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways) (2018). Version 2.0. Available at: https://tntcat.iiasa.ac.at/SspDb.
Taconet, N., Méjean, A. & Guivarch, C. (2020). Influence of climate change impacts and mitigation costs on inequality between countries. Clim. Change 1–20.
Tittensor, D. P., et al. (2021). Next-generation ensemble projections reveal higher climate risks for marine ecosystems. Nature Climate Change, 11, 973–981.
Tol, R. S. (2009). The economic effects of climate change. J. Econ. Perspect. 23, 29–51.
US EIA. (2019). Levelized Cost and Levelized Avoided Cost of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2020. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/pdf/electricity_generation.pdf.
US EIA. (2019). Electricity prices reflect rising delivery costs, declining power production costs. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=32812.
US EIA. (2016). Short-Term Energy Outlook. Short-Term Energy Outlook Real and Nominal Prices. December 2016.
US EIA. (2011). Annual Energy Outlook. DOE/EIA-0383. AEO2011 National Energy Modeling System. www.eia.gov/aeo.
US EIA. (2009). Annual Energy Review. Historical energy for transition comparisons.
United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2024). World Population Prospects: The 2024 Revision. https://population.un.org/wpp.
UNEP. (2016). Kigali Amendment Fact Sheet. https://multimedia.3m.com/mws/media/1365924O/unep-fact-sheet-kigali-amendment-to-mp.pdf
van Vuuren, D. P., Deetman, S., van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., van Ruijven, B. J., & Koelbl, B. (2013). The role of negative CO2 emissions for reaching 2 °C--insights from integrated assessment modelling. Climatic Change; Dordrecht, 118(1), 15–27. https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org.libproxy.tulane.edu:2048/10.1007/s10584-012-0680-5
Vermeer, M. and S. Rahmstorf. (2009). Global sea level linked to global temperature. Proc of the Nat Acad of Sci. 106(51):21527-21532. www.pnas.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/pnas.0907765106.
Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., et al. (2018). Temperature-related mortality impacts under and beyond Paris Agreement climate change scenarios. Climatic Change, 150(3-4), 391–402.
Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M., et al. (2021). The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change. Nature Climate Change, 11(6), 492–500.
Walker, W. S., Gorelik, S. R., Cook-Patton, S. C., Baccini, A., Farina, M. K., Solvik, K. K., Ellis, P. W., Sanderman, J., Houghton, R. A., Leavitt, S. M., Schwalm, C. R., & Griscom, B. W. (2022). The global potential for increased storage of carbon on land. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(23), e2111312119. https://doi.org/doi:10.1073/pnas.2111312119.
Warszawski, L., Friend, A., Ostberg, S., Frieler, K., Lucht, W., Schaphoff, S., Schellnhuber, H. J. (2013). A multi-model analysis of risk of ecosystem shifts under climate change. Environmental Research Letters, 8(4), 044018. http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/4/044018.
Weagle, C. L. et al. (2018). Global Sources of Fine Particulate Matter: Interpretation of PM2.5 Chemical Composition Observed by SPARTAN using a Global Chemical Transport Model. Environ Sci Technol. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.8b01658.
Weber, T., N.A. Wiseman, N.A., and A. Kock. (2019). Global ocean methane emissions dominated by shallow coastal waters. Nat Commun 10, 4584. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-12541-7.
Weitzman, M. L. (2012). GHG targets as insurance against catastrophic climate damages. J. Public Econ. Theory 14, 221–244.
Woolf, D., Amonette, J. E., Street-Perrott, F. A., Lehmann, J., & Joseph, S. (2010).Sustainable biochar to mitigate global climate change. Nature Communications, 1, 1. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms1053
World Bank. (2023). World Development Indicators, 1960-2022. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.PP.KD. Constant $ 2017 US (PPP).
World Bank. (2024). World Bank Open Data, 1985 - 2015. Population Data and Crude Death Rate Data.
Wullschleger, S.D., W.M. Post, and A.W. King. (1995). On the potential for a CO2 fertilisation effect in forests: Estimates of the biotic growth factors based on 58 controlled exposure studies. In: Biotic feedbacks in the global climate system: Will the warming feed the warming?, ed. G.M. Woodwell and F.T. Mackenzie, 85–107. Oxford University Press, U.K.
Xu et al. (2021). Changes in global terrestrial live biomass over the 21st century. Science Advances v7 n27. https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abe9829